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Toncoin Price Faces Danger of Falling Below $2 as Bearish Signal Looms

Toncoin Price Faces Danger of Falling Below $2 as Bearish Signal Looms

The price of Toncoin has experienced a significant retreat over the last several days following a strong surge that earlier in the month brought the token to multi-week peaks. At press time, TON was trading around $2.16, having briefly touched $2.90 during the recent upswing, according to data from crypto.news. Despite the pullback, the asset still remains well above its April lows near $1.20.

The previous rally was fueled by improved investor sentiment around the TON ecosystem, spurred by a resurgence in activity across Telegram-linked crypto applications and a broader revival in trading volumes for TON-based assets. Hopes of deeper Telegram integration with blockchain services also contributed to the short-term momentum earlier this month.

However, the latest downturn indicates that bullish momentum may be waning after the sharp vertical advance. Profit-taking appears to have begun as TON struggled to maintain its position near the upper resistance zone between $2.80 and $2.90.

Meanwhile, on-chain activity within the TON ecosystem remains relatively muted compared to peak levels observed last year. Decentralized finance participation and transaction volumes have not fully recovered, and many TON-linked gaming and tap-to-earn tokens continue to trade well below their former highs.

Derivatives sentiment has also cooled following the recent rally, with traders turning cautious as TON approaches a critical technical juncture. On the daily chart, Toncoin surged from under $1.40 to almost $2.90 before entering a downward-sloping consolidation pattern that resembles a potential bull flag.

Bull flags are typically considered continuation patterns that form after a strong impulsive rally, often signaling temporary consolidation before another breakout attempt higher. TON continues to hold above the key psychological support level near $2, suggesting buyers are still defending the broader breakout structure despite the recent cooldown.

Momentum indicators, however, are beginning to soften. The MACD histogram has started fading, and the MACD lines are approaching a potential bearish crossover, hinting that short-term momentum may continue to cool before the next major move develops.

If bulls manage to push above the upper boundary of the flag near $2.30, the token could attempt another rally toward the recent high near $2.90. A successful breakout above that region may then open the door toward the psychological $3 level. Conversely, failure to hold above the $2 support zone could invalidate the bullish continuation setup and potentially trigger a deeper correction toward the $1.80 region.

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